SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Starting A Online Business

Having a online business you can run from home has a lot of great advantages and conveniences, but it has a lot of potential pitfalls, too, if you don’t know what you’re doing. It’s easy to avoid falling into common home business mistakes, though, if you do a little research. Here are some smart tips for making your home business thrive.If you want to make money with a online business from home, you must be the type of person that is able to learn new things easily. No matter how much you know about the area your home business specializes in, you will still constantly need to learn new things in order to grow your business. If you are not the type of person that is willing to learn, your business is sure to fail.To get the word out about your new home business, have cards printed with your company name and logo. Give one to everyone you know, and leave them lying around everywhere you go. Spend an afternoon in a busy shopping district and leave your business cards on the bulletin boards of retail stores and professional buildings.If you have made the decision to quit your day job in favor of pursuing your own home-based business, do not put in a formal notice with your employer before all preparations have been made and finalized for your own business. Even the most well-laid plans sometimes fall through, and it is best not to burn your bridges.If you’re considering a home business, ensure that there is a market for your wares. If there are a hundred people already engaged in the same field it will be difficult for you to get clients. Instead, take your idea and focus it on a niche – for example, if you want to be a personal chef focus on dietary restrictions and advertise with them in the text.If you have a home online business, follow the IRS guidelines, so they don’t audit you. Strictly adhering to their guidelines will make the tax process go easier for you.Make sure you keep accurate records of all your home business activity. It’s easy to put off pesky record-keeping tasks till you feel like doing them, but strive to keep everything pertaining to your business up-to-date so that you won’t be confused and stressed out later on.When looking for home business supplies, shop online rather than at a brick-and-mortar retailer. You can save a lot of money by searching online for your supply needs. In fact many online retailers offer deeper discounts if you subscribe to an ongoing automatic purchase of the product. This is a great way to save, and these days every cent helps!These ideas will help keep you on the straight and narrow when it comes to running your home business, so that you can put all your energy into successes instead of failures, and you can avoid making the standard mistakes that others have made many times before you. That will leave you with more resources to put into pushing your business into growth and profit.”To Get Access To Some Of The Best Training Online To Learn How To Set Up And Grow Your Very Own Online Business, CLICK HEREAnother really great resource to help guide you in your online business journey is Wealthy Affiliate. They truly are very dedicated in helping people start and grow their own online business, they have thousands of like-minded members that are very eager to help you with any issues you may have with your online business, I highly recommend anyone looking to start an online business go and check them out for yourself. I have been a member of Wealthy Affiliate for over 4 years now and If it wasn’t for them I wouldn’t have gotten as far as I have. I will drop a link below so you can go check them out for yourself.OK so that’s all I have for now on getting started with a online business, I really hope you got some value from this. To your great success on your online business journey, Bob @ Lurnprofit

Affordable Accommodations Near San Francisco Airport

San Francisco is no doubt one of the United States most attractive and popular cities, given its rich mix of varied cultures and people. With its proximity to Los Angeles and other major cities on the American west coast, San Francisco is also home to a large number of global businesses.Traveling in San Francisco may seem intimidating to many given the steep climbs of its streets, but the trade-off is that you get to experience the beauty of a vast number of world-famous tourist spots and multi-cultural attractions combined with amazing weather and amazing natural beauty.Places like Union Square are bordered by high fashion stores, all the major retailers, as well as up-market hotels, affordable lodging and the occasional cheap deal. One of the biggest attractions in this area is one of the city’s biggest shopping areas, offering delights from various cultures from across the globe. For the business traveler or for family vacations, this place has something for everyone.While staying in such airport hotels, you not only get the advantage of proximity to the airport and affordability, but you also get to be a short distance from the very best shops, restaurants, art galleries, theaters and museums. With so much to do, San Francisco may be called a lot of things, but boring would not be one of them. With a whole gamut of indoor and outdoor activities, a visit to San Francisco has all the potential to be the journey of a lifetime.San Francisco also provides its visitors with a wide variety of accommodation to suit all aesthetic or financial requirements. Hotels near the airport offer incredible convenience primarily because of their proximity to the airport and friendly rates. Arranging your own transportation while staying in airport hotels can yield up to 60% the cost of the expenses made on hotels, which are located in other areas of the city.Hotels near San Francisco attractions like Fisherman’s Wharf might cost you more than a couple of hundred dollars per night. Hotels located in the financial districts would also have similar pricing. To avail lower prices, you can opt for staying in the hotels close to the airport. It may not boast of the proximity to famous landmarks and other attractions, but you can still avail same basic amenities.Many hotels are also competing, which should drive down prices in the near future, allowing you to get the best deal for your hard-earned money. Staying in an airport hotel, especially if you are traveling by air, brings a host of benefits which are vital to your journey like saving on time and not missing flights due to traffic. Such hotels also give their patrons a shuttle service to make sure they catch their flights and their journey starts and ends on the best possible note.