SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Ultimate Fighting Champions Pay Per View Event – Watch the UFC Event Free

Discovering how to watch the lasts match from Dana White, MMA videos, or Rampage Jackson on the octagon ring is just as exciting as watching the UFC main event live. Every time there is a UFC fight everyone is rushing to get any mixed martial arts clothing in their closets to slap it on and find a place to watch the fight. Maybe at a buddy’s home, at the bar or any Applebee’s that we can enjoy it over a nice cold beer. Does this sound familiar? Well it should sound familiar, because it happens to all guys alike. Now there is a new better way of solving this problem of watching the latest mixed martial arts coverage.We all want to see Liddell vs Ortiz just one more time fighting or have the power to re-run the tap out that ended the match. Having the fastest growing sport in our era is the best thing since cage fights. Well here is another way of not missing any actions that is coming up on your favorite UFC and MMA Fighters. The new way of watching the mixed martial arts is online television. The way of watching the UFC fights is another way you and your friends can see the extreme fighting going on all through the tips of your fingers. It’s more effective way of watching them because it’s basically free.I always have friends that are coming over to my home, wanting to see the latest MMA events. It’s simple to discover the way and it’s through your computer. Online television is taking over the way we see our favorite sport. We can watch as much as we want even through our iTouch, iPhones and iPods. Ever since YouTube hit the internet everything change the way we watch videos. Now the internet again is making our life a lot easier when it comes to watching our UFC fighters.The revolution on mixed martial arts and the online television is changing the way we watch the fastest growing spot in all times. Having the facility of watching the UFC events is the best way of seeing it not only live but on free high definition television. The commentators are great as if you were standing next to the ring side and almost getting hit by Thiago Alves. Having this option of watching live mixed martial arts substitutes the problem of looking for somewhere to watch it.Now you do not have to drive anywhere to watch all the great submissions getting done. It’s all happening in front of you in high definition. As soon as you are done watching your fight you can change the channel on your online television and see the commentaries made by the promoters. Get your updates sooner than anyone is going to get them. You could even drop a blog at tapoutblog.com when your channel surfing. Check out the new way of watching UFC and MMA fighter online with your personal online television. Make your life easier.

Begin an Online Business

Any entrepreneur or person looking to make more money in their life thinks about how to begin an online business. Many don’t take the time to look into it because they think it will be to complicated or take years of schooling before they can begin an online business. The reality is that anyone with a basic understanding of computers and the internet is well enough equipped to successfully start an online business and learn as they go. Let’s look at how to start your business online.Finding What’s Right For YouOne of the most important things for you to do is find a product or service that you truly believe in. Anything can be successfully marketed online so make sure to choose something you are really passionate about or see real value in for the average customer.Many sites are available for you to choose products from like ClickBank.com or cj.com. Many downloadable products from weight loss plans to how to manuals are available at these sites. You can choose from these products and market them on your site or blog to earn commissions. This is called affiliate marketing. Or you can decide to market a product of your own.An Online Business Marketing CampaignThere are many ways to market your chosen product. With so many ways to market your product it is important to begin with only a couple different techniques and add more as you progress. Methods of marketing include article, video, forum, social networking, blogging and many many more.It can become easily overwhelming to try and study and implement so many different strategies, so become an expert at 2 or 3 before beginning to try and learn all of them. You can easily waste your time learning everything about everything and not taking the time to actually use some of the methods. Don’t fall into that trap.Find Successful Online PartnersTo begin an online business takes consistent daily effort before you start seeing results. If you aren’t using some of the more successful methods out there your online business can become very frustrating.One of the best ways to make sure you’re online business is going to be successful is to find an online mentor that is already successfully marketing online. There are many businesses out there that offer not only great products and services but also great mentorship.It is great to have a mentor that is already finding success online because you know he/she can show you what they are doing to create that success. You should also find a program that offers the mentor incentive to continue working with you such as bonuses for him/her when you are successful at marketing your product.